时间：2015年3月24日上午 10:00

地点：后主楼1124室

报告人: 刘京辰(刘京辰教授2008年毕业于哈佛大学，获统计学博士学位。现任职于哥伦比亚大学统计系)

Title: Statistical Inference for Diagnostic Classification Models

Abstract:

Diagnostic classification models (DCM) are an important recent development in psychological/educational testing. Instead of an overall test score, a diagnostic test provides each subject with a profile detailing the concepts and skills (often called “attributes”) that he/she has mastered. Central to many DCMs is the so-called Q-matrix, an incidence matrix specifying the item-attribute relationship.  It is the common practice that the Q-matrix is specified by experts when items are written rather than through data-driven calibration. Such a non-empirical approach may lead to mis-specification of the Q-matrix and substantial lack of model fitting, resulting in erroneous interpretation of testing results. This talk is concerned with data-driven construction (estimation) of the Q-matrix and related statistical issues of DCMs. I will first give an introduction to DCMs and an overview of recent developments, followed by discussions on key issues and challenges. I will then present some fundamental results on the learnability of the Q-matrix, including sufficient and necessary conditions for it to be identifiable from data. I will also present a data-driven construction of the Q-matrix and estimation of other model parameters, and show that they are consistent under identifiability conditions.